Photo: Vikings.com |
What has allowed the Vikings' pass defense to quietly catch stride? Daniel House takes a look at the numbers and tendencies.
After a slow start to the season, the Vikings’ pass defense
has quietly returned to form.
In the past nine games, the Vikings’ defense has allowed
only two quarterbacks accumulate more than 200 passing yards. Sam Darnold (206
yards) and Tom Brady (311 yards) were the only two quarterbacks to exceed this
benchmark. The Vikings’ pass defense has quietly covered extremely well in the
backend. After struggling earlier this year, the tide has quickly shifted.
Entering November, the Vikings’ defense was allowing 24.4
points per game and the secondary was gashed throughout September. Rams
quarterback Jared Goff tossed for 465 yards and five touchdowns, while Carson
Wentz passed for 311 yards and a pair of scores. Following the Vikings’ 38-31
loss to the Rams, head coach Mike Zimmer was critical of his pass defense.
"Probably, anywhere I've ever been, I've never been
this poor in pass coverage, so we're going to have to look at everything we're
doing at get back to doing things correctly,” Zimmer said.
Following the game, Minnesota ranked No. 26 in pass defense
and allowed 9.2 yards per play over the first four games. Zimmer certainly made
some adjustments to stop the bleeding. He started playing more Cover-3 and occasionally
sent aggressive pressure packages. He trusted his players to cover on the
outside and get after the quarterback with a blend of four-man rushes and pressure.
Zimmer figured defenses would eventually catch up to the early season offensive
surge -- he was right.
The timely use of pressure has helped the Vikings cover well
and create chaos. The usage of Cover-0 blitzes, nickel pressure and zone looks have
kept quarterbacks on their heels. Minnesota became the second team since 1990
and the seventh since the 1970 merger to post at least nine sacks in multiple
regular season games. The combination of sound coverage in the backend and a
steady pass rush has helped the defense settle in. They now rank No. 3 in pass defense
and No. 11 against the run. The Vikings also lead the league in sacks with 50.
Zimmer and the staff have found a way to adjust the scheme
by blending between Cover-0, Cover-3 and Cover-4 concepts. The rise in
performance from cornerback Mackensie Alexander and safety Anthony Harris has
provided a major lift to the pass defense, too. According to Nick Olson, Anthony
Harris has a 20.1 passer rating when targeted this season. It’s the lowest
rating recorded in the NFL this season. His coverage skills and physical presence
in the box has helped bring versatility to the Vikings’ defense.
Not only that, but Mackensie Alexander has been one of the
top-rated cornerbacks in the league over final half of the season. His
technique has improved and he’s been in the correct position to make plays on
the ball. Not only that, he has been helpful as a downhill nickel blitzer. When
the Vikings bring Harrison Smith into the box, offensive line units have to
respect him with their protection calls. It left plenty of opportunities for
Alexander to pick up four sacks this season. Top cornerback Xavier Rhodes has
been battling injuries for a large portion of the season, which has thrust
undrafted rookie Holton Hill into action. Hill has been playing a high volume
of off coverage earlier in his career. In this type of coverage, he has shown
the ability to break on the football and get into passing lanes. Those skills,
combined with his tackling, were a couple areas that stood out on his prospect
film at Texas. He will continue to improve with the additional experience he
gained this season. The defensive back room has performed very well, despite
occasional injuries to Rhodes, Trae Waynes and the season-ending ACL tear sustained
by first-round pick Mike Hughes.
Young players have stepped up in larger roles and it’s a
credit to defensive backs coach Jerry Gray. The technique of these players has
improved across the board. In addition to Gray, former Vikings cornerback
Terence Newman has clearly been a positive mentor to the Vikings’ defensive
backs. After deciding to retire before the season, Newman has been coaching
members of the secondary. His expertise has paid off for players like Mackensie
Alexander and Holton Hill this season. Growth in the technical components,
combined with scheme adjustments, has helped the Vikings’ defense return to
form.
They also have continued to perform well on third down. When
the defense slows opposing rushing attacks, they set themselves up for success.
The Vikings are allowing opponent third down conversions at a league-best
28.41% clip. This number shifts to 25.61% (No. 1 in league) when Minnesota
plays at home. In fact, many of the defensive statistics improve when the
Vikings are playing at U.S. Bank Stadium.
They rank No. 1 in total yards (259 YPG), passing yards (162
YPG) and sack percentage (14.29%) at home. Minnesota has also allowed just four
touchdown passes in seven games at U.S. Bank Stadium. This includes
performances against Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers. Brees passed for just 120
yards, a touchdown and an interception, while Rodgers tossed for 198 yards and
one touchdown. The Vikings are allowing 162 passing yards per game and opponents
are averaging just 19 points per game (No. 7 in NFL). Not only that, but teams
have mustered just 4.5 yards per play and 16.1 first downs per game (No. 2 in
NFL) within the hostile confines of U.S. Bank Stadium.
With the Vikings needing a win over the Bears to earn a spot
in the playoffs, there is arguably no better place for them to play. The
defense has been solid on the road, but has accomplished significant and
impressive feats at home.
Chicago averages just 4.9 yards per play on the road, which
is the sixth worst mark in the NFL. They have also posted 319.9 yards per game
away from Solider Field, which is the tenth lowest mark in the league. The key
on the road has been the Bears’ ability to dictate the game’s tempo. In road
games, they are fourth in time of possession and control 52% of the clock. They
are also +.6 in road turnover differential, which is the third-best mark in
football. Chicago nearly has a +.8 overall turnover margin, which ranks third
behind only Seattle and Houston, according to Team Rankings.
The key for Minnesota is to take care of the football and
take advantage of takeaways they may receive if quarterback Mitchell Trubisky
makes a mistake. A large portion of his blunders have been the result of
overthrows or errant downfield passes. Chicago will try to get the Vikings’
defense moving laterally to create explosive plays through misdirection and
deception. If Minnesota can stop the rushing attack and remain disciplined in
early downs, it will put the Bears in less than desirable late down situations.
When placed in third down situations with 8-10 yards to go, the Chicago offense
has completed just 10 of their 25 attempts (40%) this year. This is an area the Vikings' defense has thrived within, too.
If the Vikings want to win this game, they must find a way sustain
drives and limit Chicago’s defensive attack. Khalil Mack, Akiem Hicks and Eddie
Goldman have been playing at an extremely high level and the Vikings will need
to account for their presence. In last month’s matchup, the Vikings were
without tight end David Morgan and he’ll likely be tasked with chipping Mack throughout
the day. You can expect Minnesota to get the ball out quickly and use heavy
personnel sets to give Kirk Cousins additional time.
If the offense can score more than 20 points, the Vikings will
have a chance to win the game. If they do, it will likely set up the same
matchup in Chicago for the Wild Card round. Minnesota’s defense will allow them
to compete, but like many instances this season, it will come down to whether
the offense can find any rhythm or identity.
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