Which areas must improve for the Vikings to take another step? Daniel House identifies those areas in his season preview!
The Vikings are set to embark upon a very important season
for the franchise’s future. After investing in a quarterback last year, they
have continued to add pieces and kept their main core of players together. In
2019, the organization enters a critical window to capitalize upon their talent
and current contract composition. If the Vikings are going to take the next
step, there are a few areas they must improve.
Here is a list:
An aggressive Kirk
Cousins
One of the big keys to the Vikings’ season is how
quarterback Kirk Cousins performs within the team’s new system. Offensive
coordinator Kevin Stefanski’s offense should mirror many of the concepts from
Cousins’ days with Kyle Shanahan and Sean McVay. Cousins will be placed within
many play-action situations to maximize his potential. During his time with the
Redskins, Cousins was one of the most effective play-action passers in the NFL.
Last year, the Vikings ranked 25th in play-action usage (21%),
according to Football Outsiders. In 2017, with Case Keenum at the helm, Minnesota
used play-action more than any team in the league (30%). This is one area you
can expect the Vikings to emphasize this year.
In addition to that, Cousins needs to be more aggressive.
When you have two of the best contested catch receivers in the game, it’s
important to give them chances. Cousins had the sixth-lowest aggressiveness
percentage (12.9%) among all NFL quarterbacks, according to NFL Next-Gen Stats.
In big moments, Cousins has to be willing to make the critical two or three
throws per game that elevate the team. Later in 2018, Cousins wasn’t nearly as
aggressive in high leverage situations and made critical mistakes. With a more
structured system that maximizes the potential of Kirk Cousins, we will have
the chance to truly assess his ability to take the Vikings’ offense to new
heights.
The Ground Game
This offseason, the running game has been a huge area of
emphasis. With Minnesota installing a zone blocking scheme and drafting center
Garrett Bradbury, they have aligned their scheme with the current personnel
they have. They will run a high amount of outside zone to get Dalvin Cook to
the edge. With offensive linemen that have athletic profiles and move well in
space, this scheme helps maximize the potential of the team’s personnel. Last
year, the Vikings ranked 23rd in explosive runs of 10-plus yards (11%
average), according to Sharp Football Stats.
As a whole, they averaged explosive plays just nine percent
of the time, which was the fourth-lowest mark in the league. In order to
sustain drives and control games, the Vikings have to run the ball better and
find a way to be more explosive. If Dalvin Cook can stay healthy, it changes
the entire offense. His skills, combined with the running style of rookie
Alexander Mattison, give the Vikings an intriguing one-two punch. The offensive
line also needs to keep the pocket clean. On average, Kirk Cousins had just 2.74
seconds to throw, which ranked 23rd among active NFL quarterbacks,
according to Next-Gen Stats. If the Vikings are going to develop an efficient
offense, they have to control things in the trenches.
Taking Advantage of
Defensive Continuity
The Vikings nearly lost linebacker Anthony Barr in free
agency, but he made a last-second switch and returned. It kept the core of
Minnesota’s defense together for another season. This type of continuity allows
the group to make late switches and understand each other’s tendencies. It’s a
big benefit for a unit that has consistently been one of the league’s top third
down defenses. In 2018, the Vikings’ defense ranked second in pass and rush
defense, but they were less consistent. Teams had explosive runs at untimely
spots and it put the Vikings in less third-and-long situations. In a podcast
interview with former Vikings head coach Mike Tice, defensive line coach Andre
Patterson discussed the value of
defensive tackle Shamar Stephen return. He is one of the most fundamentally
sound players the Vikings have on the defensive line. With Stephen’s
versatility and skills against the run, Patterson is expecting him to make a
big mark on the defensive scheme. He said Stephen played a big role in the team’s
dominant 2017 defense.
Last year, opponent early down success allowed teams to
control the flow of games and took away the Vikings’ scheme flexibility. Head
coach Mike Zimmer modified the defense and adjusted coverage tendencies at the
midway point of the season. Now, the big key is establishing consistency
against the run. If that happens, it will have a ripple effect on every aspect
of the defense.
Consistent Special
Teams Units
The Vikings have to play complementary football in 2019.
Last year, there were so many moments where special teams play was
inconsistent. Across all units, the Vikings ranked 20th in special
teams efficiency (DVOA), according to Football Outsiders. They didn’t flip the
field enough and need to put the defense in favorable situations. They also
haven’t had a punt or kick return touchdown in two seasons. Teams that play the
best complementary football in all three phases, win the most. With all of the
uncertainty this team has at the specialist spots, they need to develop stability.
During roster cuts, they signed veteran punter Britton Colquitt to team up with
Dan Bailey. Minnesota will be playing in many close games, so it’s critical to
execute the small details, such as knocking down field goals.
Very good insight. Love this site
ReplyDeleteExcellent coverage. Keep it coming Daniel.
ReplyDeleteAnother way of stating the ground game needs to work, is that the OL has to do better than last year. Are they better? We are about to find out.
ReplyDelete