Two preseason games remain, but roster cuts are right around the corner. Daniel House provides his first 53-man roster projection, following training camp and two exhibition matchups.
Updated: August 21, 2018, 1:05 p.m.
By: Daniel House
The Vikings are moving into the second half of the preseason and it's time to start thinking about how the roster could take shape. After watching training camp and two preseason games, here's a "way-too-early" 53-man roster projection.
QB: (3): Kirk
Cousins, Trevor Siemian, Kyler Sloter
Analysis: The
Vikings were aggressive in free agency as they attempted bolster the quarterback
position this season. Front office staff tossed out cash to Kirk Cousins and
sent a fifth-round pick to Denver for experienced backup Trevor Siemian.
Siemian has started 24 games in the NFL, which provides a sense of veteran
experience in the event he is needed. This is important to have, especially
when one remembers what happened last season. At the third quarterback spot,
Kyle Sloter is a player the team can continuing developing.
A converted wide receiver, Sloter is still mastering all of
the mechanics, but clearly has upside in terms of arm talent and athleticism. There
have been inconsistences from him in practice (decision-making, release consistency),
however, the Vikings need to continue developing him to see if he can elevate into
a future option. Also, the team has kept three quarterbacks every year under
head coach Mike Zimmer.
RB: (3): Dalvin Cook,
Latavius Murray, Mike Boone
Analysis: The top
two spots are filled with a one-two punch that could surprise many people this
year. Dalvin Cook and Latavius Murray’s rushing styles complement each other
well. Murray is also looking more comfortable after spending most of last
season recovering from ankle surgery. Outside of those two, the competition to
fill the No. 3 running back job has been intensifying. With Jerick McKinnon
leaving for a big contract in San Francisco, the Vikings found developmental talent
in undrafted free agency. Both Mike Boone and Roc Thomas have stood out in the
preseason.
Thomas had a 78-yard receiving touchdown in the first preseason
game and flashed his burst and vision as a runner. However, Mike Boone has displayed
an ability to create yards after contact and is more polished as a receiver. Overall,
Boone has the best body of work dating back to spring OTAs. With it being
difficult to keep both of them, the Vikings will try to slide Thomas onto the
practice squad. The race can change during the final two games, but after
training camp and two games, this feels like the best move.
FB: (1): C.J. Ham
Analysis: C.J.
Ham’s versatility makes him an important aspect of what the Vikings do
offensively. He is an integral cog when the Vikings deploy 22 personnel to run
the football. He has significantly improved as a lead blocker and has blended
it with his pass catching ability. Ham filled in at tight end when injuries
plagued the group last year. This is valuable and an important aspect of the
Minnesota offense.
WR: (5): Stefon
Diggs, Adam Thielen, Laquon Treadwell, Brandon Zylstra, Chad Beebe
Analysis: The
top-three spots are locks right now, but the picture is less clear outside of
that. None of the bottom-tier players on the depth chart have really separated
themselves for the final spots. Chad Beebe has been the only wide receiver who
has taken advantage of the snaps. He has excellent feet, quickness and starts.
He is starting to become more nuanced as a route runner and is getting open consistently
out of the slot. Veteran Kendall Wright was showing flashes in practice, but I’m
not if it’s enough to keep him around. Beebe is younger and has plenty of potential
for the coaches to work with.
The last spot is more complicated. Brandon Zylstra was
making a name for himself before missing three practice sessions and two
preseason games with a hamstring injury. His role on special teams, combined
with his growth as a receiver are probably enough for him to make the roster right
now. Tavarres King is a solid vertical playmaker and is slightly more polished
as a route runner at this point. However, like Kendall Wright, he doesn’t provide
value on special teams. Those factors separate Beebe and Zylstra, especially considering
neither of the veterans have flashed. In addition, it’s worth remembering Cayleb
Jones will be returning in Week 5, following his performance enhancing drug suspension.
With that in mind, this feels like the best way to structure the wide receiver
depth chart, unless one of the two veterans flash in the coming weeks.
TE: (3): Kyle
Rudolph, David Morgan, Tyler Conklin
Analysis: The
tight end position is pretty much set at this point. Kyle Rudolph is one of the
top red zone receivers in the league and David Morgan is a fantastic run
blocker. Morgan’s value is vastly underrated when you analyze the impact he
makes every week. At the third spot, Tyler Conklin is still developing, but is
a mismatch tight end who can run routes out of a variety of different positions
on the field. He also was showing up more as a run blocker during the most
recent preseason game. Blake Bell has been near the top of the special teams
depth chart, but it doesn’t make sense for the team to keep four tight ends,
especially considering they have three with all of the necessary skills.
OL: (10): Riley
Reiff, Tom Compton, Pat Elflein, Mike Remmers, Rashod Hill, Brian O’Neill,
Danny Isidora, Cornelius Edison, Aviante Collins, Josh Andrews
Analysis: The
offensive line has been the biggest question mark surrounding this team during
training camp and the preseason. Pat Elflein, Mike Remmers and Rashod Hill all
should be returning soon, which can only help the unit. It’s the depth spots
where there are more question marks. Everyone in the back half of this depth chart
is young and inexperienced. It means if one veteran goes down, those players
will at least need to be serviceable. Brian O’Neill and Danny Isidora are both progressing
with additional reps. In addition, Cornelius Edison has been a major surprise and
can play both guard and center when called upon. Finally, Aviante Collins put
together a strong camp. He was less impressive at tackle in the preseason, but in
my eyes, projects more naturally as a guard. I think the team will probably
attempt to acquire a swing veteran tackle before or during roster cuts. Josh Andrews likely sticks around until they make that roster move.
DL: (10): Danielle
Hunter, Sheldon Richardson, Linval Joseph, Everson Griffen, Brian Robison,
Tashawn Bower, Stephen Weatherly, Jaleel Johnson, Ifeadi Odenigbo, Jalyn Holmes
Analysis: I don’t
think there’s a deeper position group on the roster. One could argue defensive back
is close, but I think the talent is more polished on the defensive line.
Outside of the top players, Tashawn Bower and Stephen Weatherly are developing
nicely at defensive end. Each of them both have more refined their pass rushing
moves and Weatherly has been making a splash as a run defender. Inside, Jaleel
Johnson might be the most improved player on the team. He has become stronger
via the strength program and is more physical at the point. Johnson has now
managed to combine the strength with his above average hand technique. He will
play a major role in the Vikings’ defensive line rotation.
Rookie Jalyn Holmes has work to do technically, but is still
disruptive because of his length and unique physical traits inside. He is
someone defensive line coach Andre Patterson will continue to mold. Finally, I
think the Vikings will keep ten defensive linemen due to Ifeadi Odenigbo’s
strong performances. He was dominant during training camp because of his his explosiveness,
strong hands and position versatility. He can play inside or on the edge at
defensive end. This type of flexibility will be enough for him to claim a
roster spot.
LB: (5): Anthony
Barr, Eric Kendricks, Ben Gedeon, Eric Wilson, Reshard Cliett
Analysis:
Entering camp, one of the areas of concern was linebacker depth. There was so
much inexperience and unproven ability at the position. After watching
practices, Ben Gedeon and Eric Wilson have improved, especially Wilson. He has
bulked up and has the sideline-to-sideline range to fit well in the defense. After
the top-four, the final spot is less clear. Antwione Williams has the length
and blitzing ability to fit the defense, but doesn’t have the range the Vikings
usually value in linebackers. Devante Downs still needs to develop and has
looked rusty throughout camp and the preseason, as he recovers from a knee injury.
He’s probably a practice squad candidate. I’m probably in the minority, but I would
award the final to Reshard Cliett. He has the movement skills and physicality
to make plays against the run. Cliett has caught me eye in the first two
preseason games and can play on special teams until Kentrell Brothers returns.
The margin between Downs, Williams and Cliett is small and a few strong preseason
games could change my opinion.
CB: (7): Xavier
Rhodes, Trae Waynes, Mackensie Alexander, Mike Hughes, Terence Newman, Marcus
Sherels, Holton Hill
Analysis: Outside
of the defensive line group, cornerback is the one area where the Vikings are
extremely strong. Mike Hughes has exceeded expectations and will make an early
impact in the secondary. Past youth like Trae Waynes and Mackensie Alexander
have progressed as well. One of the main question marks is whether the team
keeps six or seven cornerbacks. If they keep seven, Marcus Sherels will make
the team. I think this is the most realistic scenario as the team values his reliability
as a punt returner. As Mike Hughes adjusts, they’ll probably keep Sherels for
one more season.
Holton Hill has so much potential to be a solid NFL player.
Right now, he’s trying to master new technique, and when does, the ceiling is
extremely high. The Vikings will keep him on the roster to invest in his
development as a player. Horace Richardson is on the fringe of making the team
and has taken an impressive step forward. He caught my eye last year in
training camp and is working with the second-team unit. Due to a numbers game
at the positon, the only way Richardson makes the 53-man roster is if the Vikings
decide to release Marcus Sherels.
S: (3): Harrison
Smith, Andrew Sendejo, Anthony Harris
Analysis: The
Vikings can keep three safeties because they have the flexibility to move Terence
Newman into the backend if needed. Tray Matthews has also been progressing and
can be stashed on the practice squad in the event injuries occur. Anthony
Harris has significantly improved and could push for the starting role next
year as Andrew Sendejo’s contract features an out. Jayron Kearse is strong on special
teams, but has missed time during the preseason. The team must decide how much
they value keeping an extra defensive linemen or safety.
K: (3): Daniel
Carlson, Ryan Quigley, Kevin McDermott
Analysis: The kicker
battle ended after training camp and the first two preseason games. Daniel Carlson
has the most potential to upgrade kickoffs, along with deep field goal tries.
His big leg leaves an element of possible creativity on kickoffs because he can
kick the ball to certain spots others can’t. The new kickoff rule also allows
the kicker to challenge return units by kicking the ball to difficult spaces on
the field.
4-game suspensions: Kentrell Brothers and Cayleb Jones
Practice Squad (10):
Roc Thomas, Jeff Badet, Colby Gossett, Antwione Williams, Devante Downs, Horace
Richardson, Craig James, Jonathan Wynn, Jake Wieneke, Tray Matthews
I love this roster! 10 OL, 7 CB... I didn't have the guts to cut Kearse, but with the depth we have at DL, it would be sad to lose a player like Bower, Holmes or Odenigbo. I hope your projection could be 100% correct, but it probably won't because of free agency. Great job Daniel!
ReplyDeleteAs always, a very informative read. One question, how does these numbers project vs previous squads? You mention for the QBs (always kept 3 QBs). If I remember right we kept 6 WR and 6 DBs last year. I'm just curious how many OL and DL did we keep previously (LB). It would add a little more context!
ReplyDelete2015-2016-2017
DeleteQB : 3-2-2 (Teddy on IR)
RB : 4-4-4
TE : 4-4-3
WR : 6-6-6
OL : 9-9-9
DL : 9-8-9
LB : 6-7-6
DB : 9-10-11
Thanks Mike!I should have been clearer, 6 CBs not DBs last year (or am I wrong on that one?)
DeleteNice analysis! I’m sold on most of these. Although I would take issue with some of your practice squad choices. For example Jake weinecke and Jeff Badet have really seems to underwhelm. I’d drop those two from practice squad in favor of others.
ReplyDelete*seemed
Delete*the practice squad