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Heading into the 2017 season, the Vikings will need to find an identity in the red zone. Daniel House discusses how the Vikings can improve their recent woes inside the 20-yard-line.
Updated: July 6, 2017 2:55 p.m.
By: Daniel House
By: Daniel House
The Minnesota Vikings finished 2016 with one of the worst
red zone attacks in the NFL. A lack of creativity on offense, poor offensive
line play, and a struggling running game, left the Vikings frequently kicking
field goals. Despite the Vikings having one of the better defensive units in
the league, they couldn’t sustain success because they were unable to punch the
ball into the end zone.
Third Down Struggles
and Red Zone History
Inside the 20-yard-line, Minnesota particularly struggled to
be effective on third down. According to ESPN Stats and Info, the Vikings had a
57.7% third down conversion rate in the red zone. This figure ranked 27th
among NFL teams last year. Many of those struggles were attributed to the lack
of weapons and balance the Vikings had on offense. Minnesota also consistently
forced a running play or threw a pass short of the end zone. The offensive line
issues and lack of creativity really impacted their ability to convert on third
down in the red zone.
The defense had a heavy strain placed upon them when the
Vikings were unable to score over 21 points per game. Many people felt the lack
of red zone success was due to the poor offensive line play and the absence of
Adrian Peterson. Obviously, they were contributing factors, however, a look at
the past seven years show the Vikings’ red zone offense has
been below average.
The Vikings have averaged a ranking of 20th in
red zone touchdown scoring percentage over the last seven seasons. They have
scored touchdowns inside the 20-yard-line at a 49.8% clip during the same time
frame, according
to Team Rankings.
Red Zone Touchdown
Scoring Percentage:
2016- 29th
2015- 27th
2014- 16th
2013- 18th
2012- 18th
2011- 8th
2010- 29th
2010- 29th
So how do the Vikings improve in the red zone in 2017?
Spread the Field
The Vikings often ran power packages and brought in an extra
offensive lineman to help improve their push up front. This was a dead giveaway
Minnesota was going to be running the football. When the Vikings ran these
sets, the offensive lineman didn’t execute their assignments and were unable to
communicate sufficiently. This was especially the case when they deployed pulling
guards. With Mike Remmers and Riley Reiff being reliable run blockers, it will
help the Vikings rushing attack on the goal-line. Nonetheless, the team must
get more creative on offense. Spreading the field and utilizing Sam Bradford’s
accuracy should be a priority inside the 20-yard-line. With better protection
up front, passing the ball should be less stressful in the red zone. Bradford
had a top-five accuracy percentage in the red zone (64.1%) and Pat Shurmur’s
West Coast style system should maximize this. Running out of the shotgun and
hitting on short-to-intermediate crossers, along with touch fades are more
efficient when you can spread the field. Not to mention, it isn’t as
predictable.
More Certainty at
Offensive Coordinator
As I discussed above, the Vikings must find ways to be more
creative inside the red zone. This starts by developing balance between the run
and pass. The Vikings had four wide receivers --Stefon Diggs, Adam Thielen,
Jarius Wright, Cordarrelle Patterson – in the bottom 25 of league wide receiver
red zone targets, dating back to 2014, according to
TJ Hernandez.
The Vikings do have a large portion of their offense that
runs through Kyle Rudolph in the red zone (33% of end zone targets).
Nonetheless, the wide receivers have been plagued by questionable play-calling over
the last three seasons. Three straight running plays or two runs and a pass
short of the end zone have occurred far too often. Over the last three years
the Vikings have ran the ball 52% of the time in the red zone. During the same
time frame, they finished 30th in passing attempts, but ranked 12th
in rushing attempts. This shows the offensive balance has favored the run over
the last three years. In order to become more of a widespread threat on
offense, the Vikings need to deploy their passing weapons.
More Weapons to
Deploy
Offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur must find a healthy
balance between the run and pass by attacking the end zone with short-to-intermediate
passing. Hopefully, with quarterback and coordinator stability, the Vikings can
get into a better rhythm this year. The idea of having Laquon Treadwell and
Michael Floyd split out wide with Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen rotating in the
slot is intriguing. Not to mention, Kyle Rudolph and draft pick Bucky Hodges
can be split out wide to create mismatches. In addition, it would be interesting
to see Jerick McKinnon running routes out of the slot. He needs to be placed in
space to garner his athletic skill-set. The Chicago Bears game from last season
is the way McKinnon should be used throughout next season. The Vikings ran him on
wheel and arrow routes out of the backfield, allowing his athleticism to be
fully utilized.
This year, the Vikings have more threats inside the
20-yard-line, which adds a new element to their offense. Maximizing those
resources should be a priority as Minnesota attempts to bolster their red zone offense.
As GM Rick Spielman said a few weeks ago, the Vikings need to score over 21
points per game and they’ll win more games because of their defense. Last year,
they were only able to score 20.4 points per game, which is a number they must
improve by scoring in the red zone.
Running the Ball to
Keep Defenses Honest
Last year, 62.23% of Minnesota’s overall plays were through
the air. What’s more, the Vikings threw the ball 54.5 percent of the
time in the red zone, according
to NFL.com.
This is attributed to their inability to run the ball
effectively. The Vikings averaged a league-worst 3.20 yards per carry and
defensive units teed off against the pass. Teams didn’t respect the run because
Minnesota was so unbalanced and ineffective on the ground.
Last season, Jerick McKinnon was used on 30.8% of rushes
inside the 20-yard-line, while Matt Asiata accounted for 55.4%. McKinnon had
just two rushing touchdowns and Asiata tallied six. The Vikings notched just
eight total red zone scores on the ground among their running backs. With
Asiata gone, the Vikings drafted Dalvin Cook and signed Latavius Murray to
bolster their rushing attack.
The team hopes their total red zone rushing touchdowns will
increase after adding a red zone runner and dynamic shotgun ball carrier. In
2016, Latavius Murray accounted for 66.7% of Oakland’s red zone rushing plays,
scoring 11 total touchdowns. In addition, Dalvin Cook was dynamic out of the shotgun
at Florida State, which is something the Vikings have lacked.
An accurate quarterback, more weapons in the red zone, and
an active running game, should take a strain off every portion of the offense.
However, if the Vikings want to win more football games in
2017, they must start scoring touchdowns by becoming more balanced and running
the ball effectively. Executing the above strategies would be a great start to
getting the Vikings’ red zone offense back on track.
Great article but give me your honest opinion pre training camp of the Vikes??
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